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Joseph Kaminski

History, Sociology, & More

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June 23, 2017

primary

Who Will The Cruz Crew Cruise To Next?

Now that evangelical Ted Cruz is out of the Republican race, we have to wonder where all that support will go. With 546 delegates claimed by the Cruz camp and the Republican nomination down to the presumptive and destructive Donald Trump and 1-for-38 John Kasich, the Cruz camp is going to have to go somewhere.

John Kasich

Cruz and Kasich: A New Alliance

This last ditch effort to lead the Republican Party to a contested convention was announced by both Cruz and Kasich within mere minutes of each other. According to their statements, Cruz is focusing his efforts on Indiana, the home of the second iteration of the Ku Klux Klan and a severely important Republican platform with 57 delegates up for grab, while Kasich hones in on Oregon and New Mexico – two states that equal 52 delegates on the conservative’s side (28 in the former and 24 in the latter).

Democrats, We Need to Unite.

I will spoil this for you: your third party candidate cannot and will not win in a political bipartisan society dominated by DEMOCRAT and REPUBLICAN. Your write-in of Bernie Sanders will not win against an official DEMOCRATIC nominee with an electoral vote dependent on getting near the White House. A vote for anyone against the Democratic nominee — or an absence of a vote for said Democratic nominee — will lead to four years of Donald J. Trump.

Debbie Gets Primaried: Progressivism on The Rise

Party stalwarts, including many die-hard Clinton fans, criticize the decision to hide primary debates on weekend nights, setting them up for Clinton successes while lying about giving each candidate “equal air time.” And in a recent interview with the New York Times Magazine, Wasserman Schultz insulted millennial women for being “complacent” about abortion rights. Her third wave feminism seems to insult many female Bernie voters, as well. The Sanders campaign also claimed in December of 2015 that the DNC — chaired by Schultz — was “actively attempting to undermine” his campaign after the DNC denied Sanders access to the party’s 50-state voter files.

What Michigan Means For Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders won the Michigan primary — 50 percent to Hillary’s 48 percent. This isn’t something huge, mind you. The delegate count is still far and few in between, with Sanders needing landslide victories in future states to stay afloat. Not a single poll, however, has given Sanders any chance of victory in Michigan. The closest had Clinton leading by five percentage points, but the average poll had her leading 20+. Sanders’s win, as said by FiveThirtyEight (who predicted a less than one percent chance for Sanders to win Michigan), is the greatest polling upset in modern political history.

My Predictions: New Hampshire Primaries

Today’s the day, ladies and gentlemen! The first real primaries that actually show us a trend in national politics. The Iowa Caucus isn’t really a primary, it’s a Republican circle jerk for who is the most religious of them all. In 2008 Huckabee won, in 2012 Santorum won, and in 2016 Cruz won. So, yeah, we all know what happens to the people elected in Iowa on the Republican side: they don’t win. They’re usually Pastor-In-Chiefs who are “too religious” for a general election. On the Democratic side, on the other hand, Iowa seemed to give up. A literal tie that was solved with a coin flip (I guess money can buy anything in politics), we didn’t really learn anything. Here are my predictions…