|  |  | 

Election 2016 Politics

What Michigan Means For Bernie Sanders

The Michigan Primary is over, folks. My home state, although I haven’t lived there for years, has spoken.

Despite popular belief, the Democratic nominee isn’t necessarily a handed victory to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Yes, she came out as the victor for Super Tuesday. Yes, she currently has more delegates (although most of the lead is from the super-delegates, which could switch sides if the popular voter continues swapping as well). But, if you look at the strongholds of this grass roots campaign, the so-called political revolution, Bernie Sanders is still hanging in there.

I’ll be the first one to say it: the odds are slim. Yes, I Feel The Bern. I was one of the first people to donate to Bernie Sanders and his campaign after he announced his candidacy. I’ve bought a shirt and a button, as well. But, I have some heartbreaking news for die-hard “Sanders or Nobody!” voters: he’s not the final step in this twenty-first century populist-progressive movement. He’s a major step, but he’s surely not the last. The generation that tends to sway for voters — the millennials — are mostly ineligible to vote for Sanders throughout the primaries. Yes, they’ll mostly be 18 years of age by November 4th…but when it comes down to narrowing down the Democratic nominee? Unfortunately a bulk (or at least a slim majority of his biggest percentage of voters) just aren’t of age yet.

But, guess what that means for 2020? And for 2024? The generation that supports Bernie Sanders and his progressive movement will have aged to the peak of voter turnout. Those two election years are when we’ll see a landslide “progressive victory”, if circumstances lead up to it.

Of course, if Hillary Clinton does in fact win this years’ nomination (and the general), I doubt she’ll be primaried in 2020. Donald Trump, on the other hand, would have to be primaried in 2020 for the Five Ring Republican Party to stay afloat. So, we’re seeing the final step in this progressive voter turnout come to age at around the year 2024. So, don’t see Bernie Sanders as the end-all be-all for political candidates. Yes, he’s a major step. Yes, I myself support him fully. But he’s not our last hope. We will definitely see his idealism come surfacing back and surfing the millennial vote again within the next two elections: when they actually have a base to win a primary with.

But, Sanders isn’t knocked out of the ring just yet. He did something nobody saw coming.

michigan-sanders

Bernie Sanders won the Michigan primary — 50 percent to Hillary’s 48 percent. This isn’t something huge, mind you. The delegate count is still far and few in between, with Sanders needing landslide victories in future states to stay afloat. Not a single poll, however, has given Sanders any chance of victory in Michigan. The closest had Clinton leading by five percentage points, but the average poll had her leading 20+. Sanders’s win, as said by FiveThirtyEight (who predicted a less than one percent chance for Sanders to win Michigan), is the greatest polling upset in modern political history.

I do not believe Michigan is a fluke among mid-western states. The overall victory for Bernie Sanders at the Flint Debate and his well applauded performance on Fox News allowed for a change in tone across this region of the United States of America. If this happens again — in either Ohio or Illinois in weeks to come — then the fundemental support coming from electoral delegates and super delegates might start to crumble. But, of course, it would have to be a devestating loss for Clinton. Much more than a two percent gap separating the two candidates.

Sanders must get massive victories, very quickly. Mississippi voted against him, letting Clinton win with 83 percent. But, lucky for Sanders, the Deep South is done. Hillary Clinton’s “firewall” is behind him, and the states to come (especially after Michigan) may be increasingly better for him. California, Florida, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania…Bernie Sanders momentum isn’t dying. It’s been given life thanks to Michigan’s swift change. Or, in the very least, it’s been given a major chance here. A slim chance to take back delegates — perhaps both from the public and the DNC.

 

 

michigan-bernie-sanders

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

I’m a writer and historian. Simple enough, right? I enjoy philosophy, sociology, social psychology, politics, basic programming, statistics, and old books. Unlike the stereotypical leftist, I do not necessarily censor myself. I apologize in advance if you find yourself offended by something I’ve said; but I do enjoy hearing criticism and having debates.

Related Articles

  • Trump’s Turnkey Tyranny and Obama’s Drones

    Trump’s Turnkey Tyranny and Obama’s Drones

    We must not propagate Barack Obama’s eight year tenure as President until we understand the consequences behind everything in his term. Democrats – do not shout about how 44 was the “greatest president in recent memory” just yet. Republicans – do not refer to how 44 was the “worst president in American history” just yet…or

  • Meh! Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders Debate on Obamacare

    Meh! Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders Debate on Obamacare

    If you would have told me this time last year that Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders were going to debate over the topic of Obamacare, I would have leaped for joy. I was a very strong supporter for Bernie Sanders and a very strong mocker of Ted Cruz during the 2016

  • The Department of Justice and Justifying the Unjustifiable

    The Department of Justice and Justifying the Unjustifiable

    It appears to be that Donald Trump’s administration can’t grasp the reality of what the Department of Justice is supposed to do. Like any authoritarian leader rooted in widespread fear and closely cornered narcissism, Donald Trump has failed to differentiate what it means to pledge allegiance to the constitution and to pledge allegiance to himself. Well, like any fine

  • The Discharge of Blue Dogism and The New Gilded Age

    The Discharge of Blue Dogism and The New Gilded Age

    As I’ve been discussing for the past few months, Americans are currently witnessing the end of an era for political elitism. The 2016 election cycle will go down in history as unprecedented; as concerning as the rise of Hitler during downdraught Germany and as destructive as the fall of Constantinople in 1453 was to the Roman

  • Nazi Punching and Dirty, Old Fascism

    Nazi Punching and Dirty, Old Fascism

    It appears to be that 2017 will be the start of severe political discourse. As I’ve discussed previously on this website, the self-proclaimed “Alt-Right” is a rising force in American politics that has finally made its way into White House briefings. It is important for all Americans to realize the true nature of “Alt-Right” behavior

POST YOUR COMMENTS

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Name *

Email *

Website

Joseph Kaminski
I’m a writer and historian. Simple enough, right? I enjoy philosophy, sociology, social psychology, politics, basic programming, statistics, and old books.

Subscribe

Enter your email address to subscribe to this site and receive up-to-date notifications.

Join 348 other subscribers

AN IMPORTANT NOTICE

Dear reader,

In September 2016, my website server crashed. I've been working on fixing everything since.

This site is currently in a beta state, meaning that design changes and the addition of new features will be frequent.