Hillary Clinton is playing into the old era of politics for Democratic principles, where candidates tend to play to the left in the primary season and run to the center – run right, if you will – in the general election.
She’s has been doing it for months. She’s started to take corporate interest money from Jeb Bush donors. She’s talking about the “praise” that she’s received in the past from conservatives like Mike Pence and Henry Kissinger. She’s hoping that there are enough disgruntled Republicans in a dying #NeverTrump movement that are willing to dive off the ship to “vote their conscious”.
In short, she’s listening to advisers. And that’s the worst possible thing for her right now.
Hillary Clinton is listening to political pundits who are literally pulling numbers out of their ass. Nate Silver, once considered a statistical god who’s spun down to being wrong in huge aspects of this election, claimed Clinton had a 79% chance of winning. Now he’s crying on Twitter about how Trump is in the lead.
Democrats are not heading towards unity as of right now. A large portion of Sanders supporters are deflecting, even larger than Clinton supporters of 2008. Whether they go for third party clowns like Gary Johnson or Jill Stein or they completely deflect to Trump – a contradicting and hypocritical statement equivalent to high school friendship drama – they’re going. And they’re going fast.
Trump has an appeal that Republican candidates in the past haven’t had. McCain didn’t really try to steal disgruntled Clinton supporters in 2008. We didn’t see that. We haven’t see such large percentages of Democrats divert to a different party, third party or otherwise, in recent electoral history. We are starting to see it now.
This appeal is disguised as populism, especially economic populism. Despite Trump being a hypocritical and satirical candidate filled with nationalistic hatred and incorrect statistics, this vague shadow of populism is managing to make its way to the minds of the general public. The Republican base is in love with Trump, despite what the established GOP wants you to think. That’s how he fucking won the Republican primaries, for God’s sake.
But this populism is grabbing some votes from the opposing side. The Republicans are unified, let’s be honest. Democrats fall in love, and Republicans fall in line; if you watched the Republican National Convention you saw how quickly the chaos turned into the Trump Train. They’re aligning quickly, and Trump will most likely manage to completely take over the five ring Republican Circus by the November election.
You know what isn’t unified right now? The Democratic base. It’s not something Democrats would like to admit, but it’s time to open your eyes, people. The Democratic base is fractured right now; fractured between New Progressives and Lukewarm Liberalism. PUMAs and Loyalists. That’s what we’re seeing, now more than ever.
But Hillary Clinton isn’t taking this into her playbook. She’s not looking at her party. She’s listening to advisors who are telling her that she’s got to do what many liberals have done in politics’ past – run to the right.
I despise Donald Trump. I would never vote for a man like him. I wouldn’t be able to sleep at night knowing I cast my vote for such a nationalistic, fascist man full of hate and false promises. But not as many people have a conscious to vote with. Many don’t have the intelligence to realize voting third party is just another way to split the vote.
If Trump stays “to the left” of Clinton on foreign policy and trade – even if he’s lying through his fucking teeth about his platform (which he is) – he will win the election. Many Democrats have a God Complex going on right now. They think Clinton against Trump will be a cakewalk. As multiple polls have shown, it’s going to be a back and forth.
So stop listening to idiot pundits like Nate Silver who say Clinton has a 79% chance of winning before turning around and posting articles about how “Trump’s currently in the lead”. Stop listening to “oh, it’s political precedent for ____ to happen!” when this election cycle has proven itself to be different than many in the past. Stop listening to advisers who get paid to say what they think.
Don’t take Trump as someone who will go down in flames without change to your own platform. This isn’t a cakewalk. This isn’t a joke. This isn’t a game. Hillary Clinton, don’t be link your logo: don’t go to the right.